The political environment remains extremely unstable with three main factions competing to usurp and even destroy their rivals.
• Henry signed a cross-party deal on 11 September to lead an interim administration until fresh elections at the end of 2022. His supporters include a movement by Michel Martelly, the musician-turned-president who led Haiti from 2011-16. They however appear to want to delay elections beyond the end of the year to allow themselves more time to build influence.
• Credible local reporting suggests that the accusations against Henry were a politically motivated attempt by a faction linked to Moïse, the “Jovenelistes” who fear being excluded from any new government. They are led by his widow, Martine, who was injured in the attack on her husband and now plans to run for president. This group also includes Claude Joseph and Rockfeller Vincent and is pressing for quick elections to prevent their power from slipping away.
• A third group of ‘old guard’ politicians, including Lambért, hoping to use their continued power and influence to secure lucrative state positions